Australian Inflation Hits 3-Year Low as Energy Prices Plummet"

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POLITICS
Australian Housing Policy Debate Heats Up as Negative Gearing Speculation Swirls

Image: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese FB page

Negative gearing has emerged as the political hot potato the Albanese government did not need. Speculation on changes to the decades-long-standing tax policy are under scrutiny.

The Key points:

  • Negative gearing and capital gains tax reported to be considered for changes within Treasury

  • Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Treasurer Jim Chalmers quick to hose down speculation

  • Government maintains its $32 billion Homes for Australia Plan as the best way to ramp up housing supply

  • Changes may weaken supply of housing, opposition parties and property industry groups warn. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Treasurer Jim Chalmers are under pressure regarding changes to negative gearing-a tax policy that allows property investors to deduct rental losses from their taxable income. Both men have moved to temper speculation, arguing that the government is more interested in increasing housing supply than in altering existing tax arrangements.

In an interview with radio, Mr. Albanese said: "I have no plans to do it. It's not our policy." He further declared, "My concern with proposed changes to negative gearing is that it won't assist supply. And indeed the work that the Property Council have done is that it would dampen supply."

Even Treasurer Jim Chalmers said, when pinned down on the question, "We've got a housing policy and that's not in it." "We think that the highest priority needs to be building more homes. Housing supply is our big priority as a government," declared Chalmers, pointing to $32 billion of investment the government is making in housing.

The controversy blew up after it emerged that Treasury was considering possible negative gearing and capital gains tax changes. Both Albanese and Chalmers clarified that while public servants may examine various options in policy areas, no directives have been issued to review negative gearing.

Why it matters: It reflects the ongoing struggle of the country in balancing regulating housing affordability and incentivizing property investments. Thus, any reforms to the existing scheme can have a strong impact on not only investors but also prospective homebuyers, able to bring unforeseen modifications in the dynamics of the housing market that affect the government's crusade against the crisis in the housing market.

Big Picture: Housing policy approaches by the government reflect broader economic concerns, including inflation management and cost-of-living pressures. In such a complex economic environment, with the most recent inflation figures falling to 2.7%, decisions about housing policy will be critical in shaping Australia's economic future and the financial health of its citizens.

TOUR DE INTERNATIONAL

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ECONOMY
Australian Inflation Hits 3-Year Low as Energy Prices Plummet

Image: ABS

Australia's inflation has fallen to its lowest level in three years, laying out a possible easing of pressures on household economies. According to the latest figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the annual inflation rate has fallen significantly owing to declines in the prices of fuel and electricity.

The Key points:

  • The annual inflation rate fell to 2.7% in August 2024, down from 3.5% for July.

  • Electricity prices had the largest recorded annual fall of -17.9% in December 2023 due to government rebates.

  • Automotive fuel fell 7.6% compared to August 2023

  • Rent prices increased 6.8% over the year

Australia's Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% in the 12 months to August 2024, the weakest inflation since August 2021. The fall was broadly based on large falls in electricity and fuel prices: record falls in electricity from government rebates, with fuel prices also falling significantly. But price rises were recorded for categories such as housing and food, while rental markets were still quite competitive in most capital cities.

Why it Matters: This inflation data is crucial to determine precisely how the cost-of-living squeeze had put a strain on Australian households. A lower rate of inflation may offer the RBA reasons to make different decisions on interest rates-which may alter mortgage repayments and wider economic growth. The silver lining for consumers in a drop in energy costs also comes as sustained increases in food and housing costs still raid family budgets.

Big Picture : This is because cooling inflation may be implying that the pressures within the economy over the last couple of years could be easing. Still in this light, the erratic nature of price changes in all industries still suggests an intricate economic landscape wherein a decrease in energy costs precedes upticks in essential costs-like housing-therefore placing added pressure on the need for ongoing economic management and policy adjustment to keep growth balanced and affordable for Australians.

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ENERGY
Energy Bill Relief: Albanese Defends 'Power Bill Welfare' as Inflation Drops

Image: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese FB page

The 18% decline in the price of electricity-one of the highly contributing factors to the recent decline in inflation-raises a number of questions regarding how effective and sustainable the relief measures the government has implemented on energy bills have been.

The Key points:

  • 18% drop in power prices largely due to government's Energy Bill Relief

  • Long-term sustainability of "power bill welfare" called into question

  • Government defends interventions in energy market, including caps on coal and gas prices

  • Debate between use of government subsidy vs. market structural adjustments

But the reduction has largely been due to the Energy Bill Relief program availed by the government, besides opening a debate for the long-term feasibility of such interventions or whether it amounts to good economic management.

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"We have done two lots of interventions into the energy market. One that you wouldn't have expected for a government to have the courage to put a cap on coal and gas prices." - Prime Minister Anthony Albanese

Why it matters: Energy prices affect each household and every business across Australia, determining daily expenditure or costs of operation. Approaches taken by the Government have immediate implications for short-term affordability and long-term energy policy.

Big Picture: The energy price debate serves to emphasize broader challenges the government is facing in striking a balance between immediate cost-of-living pressures and a sustainable, market-driven solution for the future of Australia's energy landscape and economic policies. Indeed, how governments navigate this balance might shape Australia's energy landscape and economic policy for years to come.

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